Tuesday, June 25, 2013

NBA NEWS 6/10/13


The player spreadsheet is one of the most useful tools we have for researching potential prospects & free agents because of the information it has on ratings & tendencies. This year with the new way I have in creating players the spreadsheet will not contain information on every player for every season. The reason being is because all the information needed can no longer be obtained from one website and must be inputted by hand. Of course this makes it more difficult in creating players, but it’s a sacrifice in order to have the most realistic league since we have started.
 
Now the spreadsheet will contain all the players that are available for drafting and list the season that was used in creating them, but what happens if the player you drafted has what you think is a better season out there for creating his ratings? Well, unfortunately the data on the players other seasons will not be available for viewing on the spreadsheet but you can still change a player’s season. Now you will be taking more of a risk by changing a player’s season because you won’t know if those ratings will be better than where the player currently is at the moment. Don’t be discouraged by this new change because I’ll show you how the ratings are calculated so you can make a good determination on what a player will look like.
 
First, a player’s Shot Ratings are based on a players Field Goal Percentage. Of course the higher the better, but the ratings are broken down into 4 groups as you know (Inside, Close, Medium & 3pt) so the ratings are determined by what the player’s field goal percentage from each of those area’s on the court are. So, just because a player shoots 60% from the field it doesn’t mean that he will have great shot ratings from all of the four shot types. If you want to know what a player shoots from all these areas, this information can be found on basketball reference.com under Shooting for each player since the 2000-01 season. The scales for each of these shot types are vastly different and they are based on the difficulty of each shot as discussed in last week’s news. Now these statistics were not available prior to the 2000-01 so each player that played prior to that season has to have there shot numbers determined by a player that had the same shot percentage and similar play style to the player I am rating. Finding the player that has these similarities can be time consuming and makes establishing the shot ratings for these players a bigger unknown because I’m not sure what player model I’m going to use until the research is done and I’m only gonna do the research if you want the players season change.
 
Shot Tendencies are also very important as well. If you have a 60% shooter, but he doesn’t take but 6 shots every 40 minutes then what good is he? Shot Tendencies are determined by the amount shots a player attempts per 40 minutes played in that shot area then multiplied by 10. For instance Gilbert Arenas attempted 540 three pointers in 2005-06 in 3384 minutes of playing time. To get his 3pt tendency rating we taking minutes played (3384) and divide by three pointers attempted (540) and that will give us 6.2667. So with that number we know that Arenas will attempt a three every 6.2667 minutes played. So how many will he attempt every 40 minutes? To get that number we take the number 40 and divide by 6.2667 and come up with 6.3829. Now multiply that by 10 and it equals 63.8294 or rounded up 64. So Arenas has a 64 three point tendency. As for old school players that don’t have three point numbers because the three point rule was not in effect at the time they played, I have now given them the ability to be three point shooters. I have given this ability to most of the guards and wings from back in the day so you won’t see Bill Russell or Kareem launching three’s.
 
There’s so much more to discuss about the spreadsheet and the ratings that I will continue this next week but I will post all this information to our website NationalBallersAssociation.blogspot.com so you can always have this information for reference.

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